Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 6.949811 7.652094 8.401459 9.261737 10.223504 11.267238 12.487849
2025-11-02 5.654738 6.581719 7.634936 8.924735 10.467845 12.262334 14.518175
2025-11-09 4.730491 5.773480 7.024275 8.644957 10.704021 13.252203 16.674556
2025-11-16 4.061629 5.167821 6.559208 8.455411 10.999375 14.332852 19.095038
2025-11-23 3.567892 4.710860 6.211178 8.351472 11.369842 15.540405 21.855097
2025-11-30 3.252745 4.443803 6.070286 8.492040 12.072581 17.277808 25.617038
2025-12-07 2.923058 4.114346 5.798653 8.403628 12.421733 18.538470 28.859842
2025-12-14 2.616612 3.781595 5.480393 8.198882 12.556022 19.474240 31.722197
2025-12-21 2.396826 3.551024 5.283883 8.148272 12.911321 20.788916 35.406920
2025-12-28 2.264466 3.437559 5.250042 8.343966 13.681517 22.880311 40.789527
2026-01-04 2.138405 3.319994 5.194832 8.492836 14.383121 24.939657 46.463112
2026-01-11 2.002062 3.172101 5.073958 8.512578 14.853003 26.636484 51.724302
2026-01-18 1.856246 2.998574 4.898739 8.426281 15.134887 28.053021 56.757546
2026-01-25 1.720401 2.830047 4.716355 8.306837 15.339266 29.350388 61.801292
2026-02-01 1.595449 2.669561 4.533126 8.165228 15.481517 30.542574 66.854340
2026-02-08 1.488982 2.532541 4.379110 8.061622 15.685307 31.891724 72.553459
2026-02-15 1.400293 2.419935 4.259185 8.010602 15.989614 33.502012 79.233139
2026-02-22 1.347918 2.368995 4.248758 8.175974 16.774657 36.310436 89.602535
2026-03-01 1.271565 2.267250 4.132607 8.111291 17.044682 37.963179 97.269946
2026-03-08 1.188103 2.145719 3.967904 7.927162 17.020365 38.902898 103.164454
2026-03-15 1.127793 2.064099 3.874894 7.886496 17.322062 40.695530 111.965615
2026-03-22 1.096636 2.036919 3.888516 8.080378 18.207339 44.128549 126.634209
2026-03-29 1.062616 2.001382 3.881786 8.227413 18.997734 47.448215 141.862683